Went to a "LunchnLearn" lecture yesterday at the University of Toronto.
The guest speaker was businessman and writer Theo Caldwell, who addressed the topic:
"President Obama: His Prospects for Hope and Harmony with a Democratic Congress."
Caldwell predicts, the president will have neither hope nor harmony.
He says it's just the nature of the American political system: the president must look at the national stage, while Congress focuses on regional, state or district concerns.
This inevitably leads to conflict and tension, even when you have a Democratic president and a Democratic Congress.
Add an economic recession into the mix and you have even more tension and conflict.
Where will this all lead?
Well, Caldwell guesses you will see a Republican resurgence in the 2010 Congressional elections, with perhaps the GOP winning the House of Representatives.
This, in turn, could lead disenchanted Democrats to blame Obama for their woes, which in turn could lead to a primary challenge in 2012.
Who would possibly challenge Obama? Who knows, but I bet her name rhymes with Billary.
And says Caldwell, American presidents who are seriously challenged in primaries usually lose the general election.
So get ready for a Republican president in 2012.
Mind you, this is all a guess.