No Spring Vote

The Quebec election results, the big-spending budget and some interesting polls have all fed speculation that an election is imminent

Well a few weeks ago, I said there would be no Spring election and I still stand by those words.

It would just be too much of a risk for the Tories to go right now.

Also, the government faces the problem engineering of its own downfall, which as journalist/author Paul Tuns notes is no easy task given the dynamics of the House these days.

Says Paul: "It just seems improbable that no matter how much Harper wants an election that the other parties would co-operate with his plan to attain a Conservative majority."

And if we don't have an election in the Spring, it's extremely unlikely there will be one in the Fall.

So my prediction: We go to the polls in Spring of '08.

Remember you heard it here first.